Posts Tagged ‘Resistance’


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Forex Charts – Deadly Errors You Need to Avoid to Win Big

Thursday, February 18th, 2010

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If you want to win at forex trading then using forex charts and technical analysis is a great way to do it. Forex charting is easy, time efficient and works yet; traders still make basic errors that cause them to lose.

Let’s look at the errors made and why you need to avoid them.

1. Forex Charts Predict

A common mistake, traders think they need to predict to win – but of course this is simply hoping or guessing and is destined to see you lose.

If you use charts the correct way, you trade on the reality of price change and trade it, you don’t predict.

There is a big industry in forex trading that says prices move to a scientific theory and you know what will happen next – but of course if prices did move to science, we would all know the price in advance and there would be no market.

Don’t believe any of the prediction nonsense – trade the reality of price change i.e if a price comes to support, don’t predict support will hold, wait for it to move the other way and trade the fact it has held.

Another great way to trade is to trade now breakouts to new highs or lows – it’s a proven fact that most big moves start from these breaks, so make breakouts part of your forex trading strategy.

2. The More Inputs the Better

5 or 6 indicators must be better than 1 or 2 – totally wrong!

The more inputs the more chances are the system will break.

Simple forex trading systems work best and always have.

All you need is support and resistance and a few indicators and your all set.

3. Using Invalid Data

You need to use technical analysis on valid data, where you can get the odds in your favour.

Do not try and use forex day trading or scalping systems the data is to short to be traded. All volatility is random and you can’t use it, so don’t – Either forex swing trade or trend follow.

4. Using Indicators in the Wrong Way

Many traders do this.

They use lagging indicators such as moving averages to enter price, or Bollinger bands are stops. This is not what they were intended to do!

Use an indicator for what it was intended and understand its limitations.

5. Curve Fitting

To succeed with forex charts we have said you need to keep your system simple and if you do, you will avoid another common mistake curve fitting.

Today with powerful software packages, it’s tempting to back test and bend the rules to fit the data to make a profit – this is also known as curve fitting.

If you do this, the system will collapse in real time trading, as no two segments of data repeat themselves in the same way again.

To avoid curve fitting – keep it simple and make sure the rules you use to execute your trading signal are the same for all currencies and all market conditions.

A Simple Route to Profits

Forex charting is essentially simple – You need to use support and resistance and a few confirming indicators and to trade the reality of price change either, with breakouts or shifts in price momentum near support and resistance tests.

If you do the above, you can build your own forex trading system in about a week and you could soon be making profits, big ones, in less than 30 minutes a day.



By: Kelly Price

About the Author:

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential info and more on Successful Forex Charting visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com.



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Moving Average Convergence Divergence (macd) Momentum Indicator

Sunday, January 24th, 2010


The MACD is a great trending indicator that can be used for many daytrading strategies. A bullish market is indicated by the faster-moving average crossing the slower-moving average on the way up. A bearish market is indicated by the faster-moving average crossing the slower-moving average on the way down. On top of that, the MACD has different periods for the fast- and slow-moving averages. The typical default MACD periods are 8, 17, 9 or 12, 26, 9.

The MACD is based on three moving averages, however, they essentially show up as being only two lines. The 8 period and the 17 period moving averages are combined to form the faster-moving average line. The 9 period exponential moving average forms the slower-moving average. In your daytrading strategy, the MACD moving average lines can be read for three pieces of information to give you the buy and sell signals you need for successful trades.

The first type of buy and sell signal you get from the MACD is called a breakout. This breakout is signified by the faster-moving average crossing the slower-moving average. If you were to examine a MACD chart, you would see a few places where this is happening. Like we talked about earlier, when the faster-moving average line crosses the slower-moving average line on the way up, youve got a bullish signal. Conversely, when the faster-moving average line crosses the slower-moving average line on the way down, youve got a bearish signal. Thats a breakout. There are some traders who will enter or exit a trade based when the line crosses, however, keep in mind that by doing so, you could limit potential profits and take on additional losses.

The second type of buy and sell signal we can get from the MACD is to test for support and resistance. When youre day trading stocks, you might be told to trade on the cross, but here is something you can add to your strategy instead of just blindly trading at the cross. What you can do is check to see if the indicator lines are moving in the same direction and test the indicator line as being a support or resistance line after the cross.

The last type of buy and sell signal we can get from the MACD is divergence information. When the fast- and the slow-moving average lines move away from each other, the mound on the chart expands. As these lines draw near to each other, the mound shrinks. That is called divergence. Divergence is an important day trading tip that can strengthen your position on a trade if read correctly.

Using the MACD is a good way for experienced day traders to get an idea of when to buy and sell based on averages that give you a logical reason to buy or sell at a particular time.



By: Manny Backus

About the Author:

Manny Backus is an expert at helping day traders make hundreds or thousands of dollars within just the first hour of the trading day. Visit Day Trading Pro, http://www.daytradingpro.com/ for more information.



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Forex Tips – 8 Essential Forex Trading Tips For Bigger Forex Profits

Sunday, January 24th, 2010


If you are new to Forex trading then the Forex tips enclosed will help you win and enjoy currency trading success – let’s take a look at them.

These 8 essential Forex trading tips are in no particular order of importance there all important!

1. Don’t Trust Forex robots or Expert Advisors

These are a guaranteed way to lose your money quickly. Nave and greedy traders buying thinking they are going to get a life long income for a hundred dollars or so – it looks to good to be true and it is. Avoid these cheap get rich quick systems and do it on your own.

2. Learn Technical Analysis

You can learn to trade in Forex quickly, so make sure you get the right education. By far the most time efficient way to trade is to use Forex charts and simply follow the reality of price change as it occurs on the chart, this may sound simple but prices trend and if you can learn to trade these trends, you can simply lock into them and hold them for big profits.

It should 0nly take a couple of weeks to put a robust Forex trading strategy together and then you can start making big profits in 30 minutes or less per day.

3. Keep Your System Simple

Your system should only consist of chart support and resistance and a few confirming indictors. Never make your system complicated or it will break, in an odds based market like Forex, simple systems are more robust so always keep your strategy simple.

4. Don’t Over Leverage Your Account

You can get leverage of up to 400:1 with most brokers but don’t use it all! Novice traders should use 10:1 maximum leverage and even after they become experienced, they never use all the leverage granted to them. Over leveraging destroys more accounts than any other single reason.

5. Use Stops and Accept Short term Losses

If you want to win, you need to learn to lose short term and keep losses small. Never let losses run and always use stops. Forget your ego and don’t angry when you lose, all traders need to take losses, while they wait for gains. The best traders always keep their losses small and you must to.

6. Run Your Profits

Many traders snatch their profits to quickly and never run them but unless you run your profits, you will never cover your inevitable losses – so if you have a winning trade have the courage to milk it for all its worth.

7. Always Understand Discipline is the Key to Success

If you have a trading system you need to apply it with discipline and not deviate from it. In a losing period many traders simply get frustrated and over ride their rules and if you do this you simply have no system and will lose.

8. Have Confidence in Your Trading Edge

When trading Forex, you reply on your skills and judgement and success comes from within. You must have confidence in what you are doing and know why you will win. This will allow you to trade with discipline; cut your losses and have the courage to hold your winning trades to achieve long term currency trading success.

Anyone Can Win at Forex if they Want too!

Anyone can learn to win at Forex and although you need a good method, you also need the right mindset to trade with discipline.

Success comes from a good Forex education, so get one and you will be well rewarded with huge long term gains trading the worlds most exciting investment – global Forex.





By: Kelly Price

About the Author:

NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFS
ESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE

For free 2 x trading Pdf’s, with 50 of pages of essential Forex info and more on the Best Forex Trading Strategies visit our website at: http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com



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Forex – MACD

Sunday, December 20th, 2009


The MACD indicator is just one of many popular indicators used in the forex market.

It is a trend following indicator consisting of two moving averages and it is calculated from the price action shown on the chart that it overlays.

The indicator is formed from three exponential moving averages a 12, 26 and 9 and is plotted as two moving averages.

The first is formed by plotting the difference between the 12 and 26 exponential moving averages and is called the MACD line.

The second is formed by plotting a 9 exponential moving average of the first plotted moving average and is called the signal line.

When the MACD line crosses up above the signal line this generates a possible buy trigger, and when the MACD line crosses below the signal line it generates a possible sell trigger. These signals should not be used in isolation but used to confirm other trading signals that qualify a trade.

It is worth noting that all signals generated from price based indicators such as MACD are lagging and price should be your number one confirming indicator when making a decision to take a trade.

On the below 15 minute chart of the EURUSD (chart link at the bottom of this article) we can see the MACD line crosses above the signal line confirming a possible buy opportunity at point A. We can also see that price has traded down to an old support level adding a further reason why price may reverse giving an extra signal to take a trade.

Additional signals to take a trade could be that price has broken above a trendline and taken out an old resistance high confirming the start of a new uptrend.

When introducing an indicator into your trading system it is always prudent to test the signals it generates in a demo account over at least 20 trades so that you know the indicator is profitable.

By: Duncan Cooper

About the Author:
The 15 min chart referred to in this article can be viewed along with a free video on how to use MACD effectively in your trading at our website http://tradingtheforexmarket.blogspot.com/2009/11/forex-macd.html.



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Forex Advise – Course Review the Vbm a Timeless Profit Method for Profit

Friday, November 27th, 2009


As a novice trader I was looking at forex education on the net and looking to buy course and found one thats perfect for novices. Its easy to understand, easy to apply and it makes profits. Lets review it.

The first thing I liked about the course was it was not just a sequence of numbers or an equation it actually explains the logic behind the numbers and told me why and how the patterns develop.

Anyone who wants to buy the course gets 2 PDFs free (you dont even have to give your email) which I thought was confident- the author obviously thinks people will come back! And after reading the 60 pages I can see why.

The PDFs were written so traders know exactly what it takes to become a successful trader. The first one explained the mindset you need to succeed and the second why the bulk of traders lose.

These are quite simply two of the best PDFs on trader psychology I have read and tempted me to buy the course.

When I got the course I read through it – its easy too understand and is simply based around support and resistance and the velocity of price, to time entry hence its name, The Velocity Breakout System or VBM for short.

The courses main theme is that you need to trade using valid support and resistance but you cant predict if levels will hold or break – if you do you are hoping and if you hope or guess, you will lose.

The course is big on trading price momentum If price momentum supports the set up trade it – if it doesnt, forget it.

Does it work?

I have found that I have made good profits overall and made 57% on my account equity in 4 months, on 3 trades, so its worked for me and I am confident using it.

A word of caution with the course is – it doesnt suit traders who like action.

The VBM set ups only come around a few times a month but as the course says – the aim is to make money and that doesnt rely on trading frequently.

Furthermore, it is up to you to set the money management parameters and this is simple but results will vary.

Keep in mind this is not just a number sequence you apply blindly, you customize the basics the way you like them, in line with your trading personality and risk tolerance.

All in all, its easy to understand and apply, all the logic is fully explained and its a great system for novices and traders who want to take a system and make it their own.

As the course points out – you dont make money unless you understand the logic and from this understanding flows confidence and discipline and these traits as we all know are essential to success.

I have had the lots of systems and tried them but never stuck with them as they were number sequences and I had no confidence the key to the VBM is you understand the logic and that gives you the confidence to follow the system.

Another great thing I liked about the course was even before I bought it and had just downloaded the initial PDFs, my queries were answered promptly and in great detail.

The reason for this is the guys who wrote the course are traders NOT just e-book sellers.

What I loved was the daily weekly and special situations reports the guys post on the website. They show what their doing and help you spot the set ups for two months free which I thought was a nice touch and helped me really get into the system.

The reports were easy to understand and the set ups clear and while I followed it, the guys were calling the big trends as well and obviously making money.

All in all if you want a great course, that is easy to understand and profitable, then the VBM is a good start and unlike many other courses, it doesnt claim you will be success, thats down to you. As the authors say, we will give you the tools but you need to pick them up and use them.

I have and made some great profits and highly recommend this course.

One final point – get the free PDFs even if you dont buy the course there a great freebie and you can download them without giving an email or any of your details.



By: David Windsor

About the Author:

FREE CRITICAL TRADER PDFS

Get these two great PDFS I enjoyed them and sure you will to: FREE FOREX Trading PDF’s to give you the facts on how to become a professional trader and get more great forex info at:
http://www.learncurrencytradingonline.com/index.html



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