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Trading systems and services – do they really work?

Monday, November 29th, 2010


A bit about www.systemsfortraders.com and who we are

We are a group of 4 traders with over 50 years trading experience between us. All of us have been full time traders at some time or another, two of us still are, the other two still trade on a part-time basis. We set up and now run this new forum in our spare time with a specific purpose in mind.

Many people find it extremely difficult to find completely independent and honest reviews of trading systems and services. This is because many products do not live up to their expectations (as advertised on their own websites) and many product reviews are carried out by other websites promoting and benefiting from selling that product. Our intention with this site is to facilitate a 100% independent and honest forum for such products.

We use our spare time and our experience to produce initial reviews of as many of these products as we can. Reviews are based on our limited exposure, limited because we just do not have the time to review each product for months upon months and trade them all in parallel. However, this fits with our intentions, which is not to test each product to its extremes but to use our experience to get a general feel for it so as to be able to produce our initial review. To achieve this, for each product, we endeavour to do some form of back-testing/result verification and also run the product in real-time (on a small account) for at least a few weeks. Not ideal, however we believe our experience permits us to produce what we consider a reasonable initial review.

Our intention is not to be Judge and Jury, our limited exposure does not permit this. Following our initial review, the hope is to promote further (hopefully honest) discussion and feedback within the forum from those with more experience of the product, who will add further value. All being well this will result in a forum that the whole trading community can come to rely on and benefit from, not just based our experiences but from the experiences of the collective.

We police (moderate) every single post on the site so all forums will stay on topic. It will not become another clogged up forum for others ego’s or for off-topic unrelated discussion.

Regarding affiliations, we are completely open and honest about this too. We do not and will not ever endorse or promote any of the products we review. Nor will we ever accept payment or otherwise for a favourable review. We do however set up affiliations where possible and ask, that, should anyone decide to purchase any of the products we review that they use our links. The commissions we receive from purchasing via our links (where available) will allow us to fund the future purchase of new systems and services to review as well as keep the site free.

We also ask that users return to the forum from time to time and provide their own feedback. It is only through this interaction that the site can be of benefit to all of us.

SYSTEMS AND SERVICES WE REVIEW

Systems

These usually come in the form; peruse the website, part with your cash, receive a manual (usually in pdf form), read the manual, set your charts up, learn the strategy, trade the system, make the same profits advertised on the website, never look back.

Most of these systems are mechanical in use, thus, a certain set of criteria (indicators) have to meet certain conditions before placing a trade. For example, MACD (12,26,9) has to turn up, 10 Day Moving average has to be sloping up and RSI(14) must be less than 70 on a 15 minute chart. Please dont trade this system, its an example. But basically, most systems are rules based (mechanical) and need to be set up and “learnt”. To us this involves reading the manual, setting up the charts, observing historic charts (back-testing) and live-running on a small (or demo) account. We will never use a system out of the box based on the claims on the website and we would never advise anyone else to do so.

Occasionally a system will come with an EA, this is short for Expert Advisor. These EA’s are usually pre-programmed indicators that are downloaded and applied to Meta Trader charts (they will only work on Meta Trader charts). This is quite a standard charting package offered by many of the Forex brokers out there so is usually not a problem for most. The EA is usually incorporated into a systems rules. E.g. it is basically another indicator that has to be a certain value, shape, etc. in order to place a trade. The advantage of some EA’s is that they create an audible alert when a trade is setting up/has set up and thus saves the trader some trouble and hopefully, some screen time.

Most systems we come across are Forex related, this makes sense, as its the largest (most traded) market and most flexible (its open 24×5 typically). Some systems are designed specifically for indicies, e.g. FTSE, DOW, S&P and occasionally we come across some commodity based systems too. However, it is fair to say that for every system we come across 2 out of 3 will be Forex based.

Services

This category could also be called Signal services at the moment as to date we have only really encountered Signal services in this category. There are though, two quite distinct (Signal) services, “Standard” and Fixed Odds.

By “Standard” we are referring to signals which are executed, as trades/orders, using a standard brokerage (trading) account or, particularly in the UK, with a Spread betting company. Fixed Odds is a newer form of trading than the “Standard” form and involves placing a trade direct with a Fixed Odds broker or with a Spread betting company which offers Fixed Odds functionality.

In the main, both types of service tend to fall into what we class as, Set & Forget. This means one receives a signal (by email and/or sms), enters a trade/order and walks away. The intention here is to emulate the results advertised on the website, to which you will have signed up. Effort should be minimal. The user should have to do little more than translate the signal into an order/trade with their broker and walk away until instructed to do otherwise by the provider.

Robots

There are many of these in the market. For those of you that do not know what a Robot is, in basic terms, its a piece of software that runs on your brokerage account (usually via Meta Trader) and trades automatically without any human interaction at all. All you have to do is buy it, set it up, run it, walk away, and it makes money whilst you eat, sleep, drink, etc.

We are not interested in them at all and have no interest in ever reviewing them. Those wishing to pursue Robots will find many (sales) websites which are neither independent nor honest (in our opinion) featuring reviews. We will continue to focus on providing independent reviews of trading systems and services only, no Robots.

We have our reasons for this, most of them based on the horror stories we read all too often. In the main we have also found that most (sensible) traders (rightly in our opinion) are just not interested in them either, we may be wrong but we think not.

WHAT MAKES A GOOD SYSTEM

A question we are frequently asked and one we took some time to agree on, in order of importance:

Mechanical Profitable Proven Technically Sound & Usable It Works In Practice Being A Little Bit Picky

Next month we will focus on what, in our opinion, makes a (Signal) Service good.

Mechanical

Many are surprised that this is the most important factor, more important even than Profitability.

If a system is not Mechanical, in our opinion, it cannot be operated consistently (according to a specific set of rules) and thus cannot be easily measured. If a system cannot be easily measured, it is difficult to even consider claiming that it is or can be Profitable.

How do we apply the term Mechanical? What we mean is that a set of clear rules must be in place for Entry, Stop(s) and Target(s). For example, x, y, z has to occur for Entry, Stop is xx and Target is yy, Exit if zz occurs. This is a very broad example, however it illustrates our point. Human intervention and discretion should be minimal thus negating emotion completely, or as best possible.

Profitable

This is self explanatory, a system must be Profitable.

This is demonstrated in a number of ways. Some websites provide previous results, some are actual, some are from back-tests, some are account (usually demo) snap-shots, etc. A lot of websites provide examples of the finest trades from the last few years and most are also backed up with some glowing testimonials.

The point here is that every system has some form or another of demonstrating its Profitability. We take none of these as a given as it leads onto our next criteria.

Proven

The 3 key criteria now come together. A system cannot be Proven unless it is Mechanical and there is no point in proving a system unless it is Profitable.

We do and we also recommend that everyone else, do their own homework here and remain cautious in doing so.

We approach this in a number of ways. If we can back-test a system, we do. If we can have access to a list of actual trades we take them and verify them. If we can have access to live accounts we take that opportunity. The idea here is that whatever historic data we can get our hands on to examine and verify we do it.

We dont listen much to testimonials, choosing more so to have a competition between us on who can find the most hilarious.

Now, before moving on. Just because historically something looks like the best thing since sliced bread, as mentioned above, we still proceed with caution. For example, we have encountered indicators which repaint themselves or repaint after the event. They look fantastic on the screen and highly profitable but this does not mean this is how they behave in a live environment. Having proven a system, by whatever means, does not mean one can or should jump in without first using that system.

Technically Sound & Usable

What we mean here is two-fold. First a (mechanical) system must be simple enough to be used and secondly it must not take up 10 hours of our day 5 days a week, staring at a screen waiting for a setup.

Even the most mechanical of systems can be overly complicated, the chart can look like spaghetti junction and the criteria for trade entry can be so convoluted that 6 or 7 different events all have to occur at the same time. We are not interested.

Also, we are not interested in trading say, a 5 minute chart, for 10 hours a day. Trading is about making a profit and having a life. As a matter of note, most of the systems we trade at www.systemsfortraders.com require less than 15 minutes a day on our part.

This is not to say we do not mind putting in the effort, we have put in a lot of effort over the years to get to the point we have. Our point is that now, once we have decided upon a specific trading approach, our effort, in terms of executing our strategy and our screen time, should be minimal.

We say this because in our opinion, there are enough opportunities in this environment across the many different timeframes we can chose to trade. We do not need overly complicated systems nor do we need to be tied to our screens all day.

We also like a system to be what we call, Technically Sound. By this we mean that we like to agree with the principles by which it operates and everyone will have their own baselines here but we can give a couple of examples. A system that goes long when RSI(14) is over-sold would not be Technically Sound in our opinion, nor would one that has a 100 point stop and a 10 point target. Anyway, the premise here is that we at least agree the systems fits within some sensible trading boundaries and guidelines.

It Works In Practice

So, finally, once we are reasonably satisfied with our main criteria we always determine a systems credentials by trading it in real-time, usually on a small account, we just prefer this to Paper trading, personal preference really. Paper trading is fine but even with a small account at least there is something to be won or lost based on your trading decisions. As a tip, we usually imagine there is a zero on the end of our ’s per point when trying out a system on a small account, just helps us to involve some emotion that will always be there if the system is used for real.

Of course, some systems fall by the way-side before we get to this point. For example, we may deem it too complicated, it may not be mechanical enough, it may require too much screen time, we may have deemed it as not profitable, etc. We may be wrong in our judgement but we generally go with our experience and gut feeling here. If we are incorrect and do not progress we hope that we will soon be put right in the forum by our users. If we are we will of course revisit a system and offer a follow up review.

Being A Little Bit Picky

And, really we are. But sometimes we just get fed up with poorly written manuals and untimely customer support. Believe it or not over 10% of those systems we review never respond to support emails, remember, we have already parted with our cash at this point. We will now avoid reviewing any product where we receive no response to our initial enquiry, we suggest this is a sensible option for others to adapt. Well, if someone is not interested in selling you something, what makes you think the product will be any good or that they will be interested in the slightest after they have your money.

Summary

So, we like Mechanical systems which are Profitable. We like to perform some form of Proving exercise and to ensure the system is Technically Sound and Useable. Lastly our final steps are to use the system in a real environment using a real account.

Only after we have taken the following steps do we make our only real judgement. This is never a recommendation but if any of us use a system (without modification) after writing our review we will give it a “Systems We Use”. We will also, typically, update a live journal on the forum of all the trades we take using that system.

SYSTEMS IN FOCUS

To date only one system has made it into our “Systems We Use” category and that is the LMT System by Dean Saunders.

LMT System - Works For Us!

This is a system we liked as it is about 95% mechanical and takes about 2 minutes to operate 3 or 4 times a day. This should be once a day but we cannot trade the Daily candles as they close when we are asleep so we trade the 4 hour time-frame instead. The system slipped up in the month of July but before this it ticked all our boxes; Mechanical (95%, some exception rules to be applied that require some judgement), Profitable and Proven (on back-testing and live running), we agree with the principle of the system which is trend based and obviously we are happy with its usability as one of us is trading it and using it on our own trading accounts. See our site for our real-time journal.

5 EMA’s Forex System - Complicated!

A Mechanical system based on 1 hour and 15 minute time-frames. Although titled 5 EMA’s, the system actually uses MA’s, Williams, MACD, RSI, amongst others. Just way too complicated for us. Back-testing was really hard (impossible) and attempting to trade this is real-time well, there was just too much going on for our liking. We just prefer systems to be more straight forward than this. This is not to say this system cannot work, it’s just not for us. We welcome feedback from others that have experience of this product particular those that are actively trading it.

Easy Trade Forex System - Dont Get It!

A manual we feel may not have been written by someone who’s native language is English, nevertheless, it is comprehensible enough. The recommended time-frame for this system is 4 hours (so a timeframe we like) and it “has been successfully tested for any time frame”. The system itself is based on a rudimentary version of Fibonacci which is used to forecast a “Power Turn Point”. However, the methodology behind this system just didn’t make sense (was not Technically Sound) to us and we didn’t back-test or attempt to use this system in real-time, just for that reason. It would be interesting to hear from anyone actually trading this system to determine its usability and profitability.

London Rush - Just About Made It!

The only other system we have come across that has almost made it to “Systems We Use” category. Claims of “Only 2 Hours A Day Is Required” actually equates to about 2 minutes a day around 08:00 (UK local time) most days. The system is pretty much 95% mechanical and our live running in July produced a nice return of about 6-7% risking 3% of account balance per trade. Even though we have an outstanding issue (and receive no response to any of our emails) we continue to run with this system and its on our “Systems We Use” list. See our site for our real-time journal.





By: Jon

About the Author:

systemsfortraders review team
www.systemfortraders.com



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Forex Trading Made E Z is a Currency Course That Instructs Forex Scalping at the Highest Level

Wednesday, November 17th, 2010


Forex scalping is similar to day trading in the stock market, with a few major exceptions which makes it much more profitable and a consistent winner. The currency course named Forex Trading Made E Z is one of the most popular and longest lasting programs of its kind in the industry and teaches this method of trading better than any other program I have ever come across.

This class was developed by a lay person and not an investment banker that spent fifteen years on Wall Street. What that means to you is that it is written in an easy to read and understand format. It is very simple to implement and trade with after spending only a short time studying the program.

What the developer discovered was what we in the industry call a “Forex Indicator.” This indicator over time has proven to be one of the most accurate of all factors you can look at to determine which way a currency will move in the future. All you do it watch this one little thing at a particular time of the day. If it tells you to buy, you buy. If it tells you to short, you short. Don’t worry if you don’t know what short means, the teacher will fully explain it so you fully understand it and how to do it.

If you are new to the markets and are looking for a quick foolproof way to start making some good money, then this is perfect for you. It is a very low risk method of trading while at the same time offering exceptionally high rewards. What you try to do is enter and exit the market quickly, always in one day and make a five percent return on your investment. Remember, five percent is in one day, not a week, month or year. So it is quite possible, if not probable to double your initial investment in less than one month.

As with all investment or trading techniques you will have losing sessions. The great thing about this method, is that since you are not holding your currency overnight when something catastrophic could happen to your currency the losses you suffer are usually on the small side and have little effect on your overall account. In addition, due to the reliability of the indicator you are basing your investments on you will experience very few losses.

Forex Trading Made E Z is one of my favorite currency courses of all time. To tell you the truth, it is what started me on my career path as a professional Forex trader and investor. If you have a few minutes when you’re not doing anything productive why don’t you check out its website and determine what you think for yourself. Hopefully, it will be able to do the same thing for you as it has done for me, which is to greatly improve my financial position.

By: William Alheim Jr

About the Author:
We have researched, tested and reviewed 100′s of Forex Training Courses, Software Systems and Brokerage Firms. We kept the best and eliminated the rest for you to examine at TOP RATED FOREX PRODUCT REVIEWS.

For the internets MOST comprehensive FREE Forex learning tools, which included 100′s of FREE training articles and FREE tutorials check out FREE FOREX TRAINING. Good luck on the trading floor today! William R. Alheim, Jr., CPA, MA



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How Many Indicators Do You Need To Watch When Forex Trading

Tuesday, November 2nd, 2010


Forex trading has become a widespread activity around the world these days. Since the introduction of the internet, the access to the currency markets has become a work at home activity that many people has embraced and converted into their main income source.

But Forex trading is not easy. It may be hard work sometimes, but no one can deny that trading the forex has a huge profit potential for the initiated trader. The amount of work depends on how much you know about the currency markets and the tools available to you.

As a forex trader you will need to have a trading compass in order to successfully trade the market. The usual thing for the forex trader is to have a number of indicators that will serve as the compass in his trading activity and efforts for profitable trades. There are indicators as Bollinger Bands, EMAs, Elliot Waves, Fibonacci levels, Pivots, etc. Ive known of traders who have tested more than 100 indicators!.

Once you understand and learn the language of each of these indicators you must be ready to read the forex charts for a while and start making decisions based on the information you get from the number of indicators you may be using at the moment, and these can be many indicators that you will have to use at once when you are facing a no very clear market.

The work involved in using these indicators is one of the main reasons most forex traders dream with a tool that would let them trade without spending too much time reading the charts and that would also help them reduce the stress of the trading decision. All this would involve the use of a Forex Trading Machine, a tool that, believe it or not, nowadays exists and which use has been spreading in the forex trading world.

By: Adrian Pablo

About the Author:
You can test the Forex Trading Machine here:

=>> http://ForexTradingMachineGuide.googlepages.com



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Becoming a Forex Trader

Saturday, October 30th, 2010


If you’ve been looking for an unparalleled business opportunity, then the forex market might be right for you. Forex is short for foreign exchange market. That is, the market that traders use to exchange various forms of currency from over ninety countries. This is the market in which these currencies are traded. For example, a euro is traded for a dollar or a franc is traded for a pound.

The market was started in the 1970′s. However, for most of its existence, only large banks and licensed brokers had access to it. That has all changed now. With the rise of the information age, the internet has made it available to everyone. Even the smallest trader can take advantage of this amazing global exchange. That means 24-hours a day, traders from all over the world are gathering at their computers and using the internet to bring in huge profits.

Unlike the stock market, currency trading doesn’t require an advanced degree to trade. That means with a little research, you can become a trader yourself. There’s no fees either. Because you’re doing all of your trading for yourself, you won’t owe a broker any percentage and there’s absolutely no hidden fees. What’s even more amazing is that it takes only a small investment to begin trading on the market. While many advisers suggest that you begin with around $2000 to start trading. But most forex traders are able to start with as little as $300. That’s a very small investment for all of the potential profits that it can offer.

When you trade on the forex market, you are exchanging one country’s currency for the currency from another country. That means you want to acquire currency when its value is low and then trade it away once its value rises.

By: Greg Maynard

About the Author:
Check out my “HOT” new reviews for the latest automatic Forex Software and put your trading on AUTOPILOT! If you’re sick and tired of staying at your computer for hours trading Forex, then read our reviews on some of the latest automatic trading software.



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Pivot Point Trading- 7 Guidelines For Success

Tuesday, October 26th, 2010


What do we mean by pivot point trading? It simply means that Forex traders take into account pivot points calculated from the previous day’s trading range and use them as reference points to identify support and resistance levels.

Taking the high, low, close and open values of the previous day’s price action, strategic levels can be identified which may or may not have an influence on price action. Pivot point trading puts emphasis on these levels, and uses them to guide entry and exit points for trades.

However, as with any technical indicator, there are limitations and pivot point trading, to be high probability, needs to stay within certain parameters. The following 7 guidelines can help pivot point trading be more profitable:

No. 1

Pivot points should not be used as a standalone indicator. Do not enter or exit trades purely on the basis of pivot points. Use them in conjunction with other indicators such as candle patterns, Fibonacci levels, MACD, and moving averages to identify and confirm key levels of support and resistance which may provide trading opportunities.

No. 2

While some traders living in various parts of the world may calculate their pivot points according to the time zone in which they live, a fairly safe standard for calculating the levels of pivot point trading is to use GMT (Greenwich Meantime).

Midnight GMT is a very quiet time in the market with very little volatility and provides a good opportunity to calculate more accurate pivot levels going from midnight GMT to midnight GMT the following day.

No. 3

It is good to understand what is going on behind the scenes when it comes to pivot point trading. Rather than just staring at candles on a chart, understand what they actually represent.

Thousands of traders around the world, some working for large institutions and handling millions or even billions of dollars worth of currency, are taking positions according to previously established highs and lows in the market.

Pivot points draw attention to these key levels which will often be strongly defended by traders who have a lot at stake. This is the reason pivot point trading can be so successful, once a trader understands underlying reasons for price action.

No. 4

It is good to calculate mid levels in addition to the S1, S2, R1, and R2 pivot levels. Sometimes there is a significant gap between these levels and calculating a mid point gives another point of reference. Price will often be seen respecting M1, M2, M3, or M4.

To calculate mid levels, simply subtract the level below from the level above and divide by 2. (see the resource box for a free pivot point calculator)

No. 5

Pivot point trading can be a useful strategy for entering and exiting trades at the right time. A pivot point can provide a key level of support or resistance where price is likely to bounce for a 10-20 pip profit.

Or in the case of a trend, price may retrace to a pivot level before continuing its run. The retracement point at the pivot level would be a good place to put an entry order to be taken in when price comes back to retest at the pivot level.

No. 6

The Euro – US dollar pair often puts in a daily average of between 75 and 100 pips. Watch for specific behavior around the time of the London market open. Price will often come back to test a level which is a pivot point and form a distinctive candle pattern such as tweezers, or a hanging man, and then reverse and go on its 75-100 pip run for the day.

If price comes back to the M1 level check your other indicators to see if they confirm this would be a good level to go long. Likewise, if price, just around London open, tests the M4 level, check your other indicators to see if this would be a good place to go short. You may be able to get a slice of the 75-100 pip run for the day.

No. 7

Pivot point trading helps mentally in establishing the buy zone and the sell zone. Traditionally, anything above the Central Pivot Point is a Sell area, and everything below the Central Pivot Point is a Buy area.

If you go contrary to that, make sure you double check your analysis and have very good reasons for doing otherwise.

Pivot point trading is just one of an arsenal of weapons available to Forex market participants. However, it must be stated that many successful traders use just a handful of tools that become their favorites. After all, too many indicators can lead to decision paralysis.

For many traders, pivot points are a key element in their overall trading strategy. Use the 7 guidelines above to use them safely and responsibly.

By: Michael A Jones

About the Author:
For a free pivot point calculator, Fibonacci calculator and the best free economic calendars click here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/tools.html

Click here to learn how to use another indicator, the 200 EMA, in a simple yet powerful way:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/200EMA-forex-strategy.htm

Do you know the important lesson Mohammed Ali teaches us about Forex trading? Read it here:

http://www.vitalstop.com/Forex/Advisor/forex-online-trading-mohammed-ali.htm



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